Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins (10:40am)

Over 97% of the bets and money are on the Over, yet the total is showing signs of reverse line movement. Oddsmakers initially set the game total at 8 runs, but it has since dropped to 7.5. I see value in the Under, as both offenses struggled last season. The Pirates ranked 25th in home runs and 27th in OPS (.672), while the Marlins ranked 27th in home runs and 26th in OPS (.678). Additionally, Miami’s bullpen has been strong to start the season, allowing just 1.69 runs per game in relief. Expect a tightly contested matchup, likely landing in the 6-7 run range.

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Pick: Under 7.5 +100

🍀Best of luck!

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